IAEA Taken Aback By Speed Of Irans Nuclear Program
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials were taken
aback by the advanced state of an Iranian gas centrifuge uranium-enrichment
facility at a complex at Natanz during a February visit, according
to a U.S. State Department official interviewed March 20. This revelation
fueled concerns that Iran might be violating its nuclear safeguards
agreement with the IAEA.
IAEA Director-General Mohamed ElBaradei confirmed in a March 17
report that he visited the site, which includes a nearly completed
gas centrifuge pilot plant designed to enrich uranium,
in February. (See
ACT, March 2003.) The director-general had previously
acknowledged the existence of the pilot plant shortly after his
February visit, but details have emerged only in the last month
indicating the advanced state of the facility.
The State Department official said ElBaradei observed approximately
164 centrifuges operating in a cascade at the pilot plant, along
with parts to assemble approximately 1,000 more for a larger uranium-enrichment
facility still under construction.
The State Department official also said that Washington and the
IAEA believe Iran might have introduced nuclear material into centrifuges
at another location in order to test them, because Tehran would
not have invested in a large and sophisticated facility without
sufficient testing. Such activity would violate Irans safeguards
agreement with the IAEA, an IAEA official confirmed in a March 25
interview. Safeguards agreements allow the IAEA to monitor the nuclear
facilities belonging to a nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT)
member-state.
No nuclear material was in the centrifuges at the Natanz facility
at the time of ElBaradeis visit, the State Department official
said.
The advanced state of the facility proves Iran has a far
more robust nuclear weapons development program than has been
publicly known, Secretary of State Colin Powell said during a March
9 appearance on CNNs Late Edition.
The State Department official said that Washingtons current
policy is to allow the IAEA to continue its investigation, emphasizing
that the credibility of the safeguards regime is at risk.
ElBaradei said in his March 17 report that the agency is discussing
with Tehran a number of safeguards issues that need to be
clarified, and actions that need to be taken.
Iran first informed the IAEA of the uranium-enrichment facility
in September 2002, ElBaradei said in his report. Powell revealed
during the March 9 interview that the United States provided the
IAEA with intelligence about the site, but he did not specify when.
Iran Accelerates Nuclear Activities
Meanwhile, Iranian President Mohammad Khatami sparked additional
concern about Irans nuclear capabilities when he announced
shortly before ElBaradeis visit that Iran has started mining
uranium and is developing the facilities for a complete nuclear
fuel cycle.
Earlier this month, Iran indicated that it is accelerating its
nuclear activities. The state-run Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA)
reported March 3 that Secretary of the Supreme National Security
Council Hassan Rowhani announced that Iran would begin operating
a plant located near Isfahan that converts uranium oxide to uranium
hexafluoride, an essential component of the nuclear fuel cycle.
Rowhani said March 3 that the facility is now complete, according
to a March 14 Iranian state television broadcast.
Additionally, despite agreeing in February to discuss concluding
an Additional Protocol with the IAEA, which is designed to provide
for more rigorous inspections, Tehran now appears to have placed
conditions on concluding a protocol. Vice President Gholamreza Aghazadeh
said in a March 13 interview with Le Monde that Tehran will not
conclude a protocol unless the United States lifts economic sanctions
on Iran.
Aghazadeh argued that the sanctions block Irans ability to
obtain nuclear materials, although Tehran is allowed to acquire
them under Article IV of the NPT, which states that states-parties
have the right to participate in, the fullest possible exchange
of equipment, materials and scientific and technological information
for the peaceful uses of nuclear energy.
Washington has repeatedly expressed concern that Iran is pursuing
a nuclear weapons program. Iran will have a nuclear bomb by 2010
if it acquires the necessary technology and fissile material, according
to a February Defense Intelligence Agency estimate. In addition,
Assistant Secretary of Defense J. D. Crouch told the Senate Armed
Services Committee March 18 that Tehran could flight test
a missile capable of reaching the United States by mid-decade.
Iran continues to deny that it is pursuing nuclear weapons, arguing
that its nuclear activities are transparent and consistent with
IAEA safeguards.
Russian Cooperation Continues
Meanwhile, Russia signed a memorandum of understanding with Iran
providing for joint efforts in several fields, including
peaceful development of nuclear energy, according to
a March 19 IRNA report. The precise contents of the memorandum are
not yet known, according to a State Department official interviewed
March 21.
Russia is constructing a nuclear reactor at Bushehr in Iran. Washington
has long opposed the project out of concern Iran will gain access
to dual-use technology that can aid it in developing a nuclear weapons
program, although the reactor will operate under IAEA safeguards
when finished.
Russia has agreed to supply Iran with reactor fuel, but only with
the condition that Iran return the spent fuel. According to a March
12 IRNA report, Assadollah Sabouri, deputy head of the Iranian Atomic
Energy Organization, said Russia will deliver the fuel in May 2003.
The State Department official, however, said March 20 that the deal
to provide the fuel has not yet been signed and that Russias
condition remains in effect.
In addition, the official said in a March 21 interview that Moscow
has also given the United States assurances that it
will not ship fuel until construction of a facility to store the
fresh fuel from Russia is completed. The date of that facilitys
completion is unknown, he added. Russian Atomic Energy Minister
Alexander Rumyantsev had also said March 13 that fuel would not
be shipped until the storage facility was completed, Interfax reported.
The State Department official said March 20 that Moscow might change
its stance on nuclear cooperation with Iran if that country is found
to be in violation of its safeguards agreement. Russia has long
cited Irans compliance with IAEA safeguards as evidence that
Tehran is not pursuing nuclear weapons.
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